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During the forecast period from 2012-2022, the growth of the UC market will be driven largely by the entry of Johnson & Johnson’s (J&J’s) Simponi and Takeda’s Entyvio, which will lead to an increase in the overall number of patients being treated with biologics in the US, 5EU, Japan, and Canada. Another key event affecting the UC market is the anticipated launch of biosimilars, given that the patent expiry of the UC blockbusters, Remicade and Humira are set to expire in the US in 2018 and 2016, respectively.
Researcher estimates that by the end of the forecast period the UC market in the US will grow to approximately $3.5 billion. While the prevalence of the disease in the US will plateau during the course of the 10-year forecast period from 2012-2022, the overall patient numbers are on the rise because of the country’s growing population and increasing life expectancy. This market would grow even more if Remicade and Humira were not set to lose their patent protection in 2018. Biosimilars are expected to eventually take two thirds of their branded drugs’ sales in the US.