Analysis of exit poll results 1
Arirang News
2020-04-15
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출구조사 및 선거결과 예상 구도 1
The early exit polls.
As widely expected, they're EXCRUCIATINGLY close - within the margin of error.
Those are the exit poll results, but of course... the final call will be made AFTER all of the votes have been counted.
Only by about midnight, Korea time, do we expect the results to take a more concrete form.
Joining us live in the studio to help us get a better grip of the 21st general elections in Korea: to my left, our political correspondent Kim Mok-yeon and to my right, Dr. Woo Jung-yeop, research fellow at Sejong Institute.
Welcome both to the program.
First off, Mok-yeon, walk us through the exit poll results.
Sure Connyoung, unlike the past when exit polls have been released at 6PM sharp, this time, just like our Kan Hyung-woo reports, the figures have come in at a little past 6:15, to prevent voters who've been self-quarantining due to COVID-19 from being influenced by the exit polls.
To give you an overview of the seat distribution, more than half of the 300 seats are colored in blue, which represents the Democratic Party and its satellite party.
The polls, conducted by Korea's three major broadcasters KBS, SBS and MBC, forecast that the ruling DP and its satellite Civil Together Party could grasp up to 175 seats, while the main opposition United Future Party and the Future Korea Party will finish in second with a maximum 134 seats.
The results of the exit polls are in line with latest opinion polls conducted during the campaigning period, which had the Democratic Party heading for a big win.
As for the highly symbolic Jongno, where key political heavyweights are elected in South Korean history, ruling Democrati Party candidate Lee Nak-yon is taking the lead with 53 percent.
Much attention has been focused especially on this district as both candidates have served as Prime Ministers and the winner of the district has been widely considered to have a higher chance to presidency.
If the final results turn out to be similar to the exit polls, the distribution of seats in the 21st national assembly will be similar to the 20th National Assembly, where the ruling party had the most seats.
Dr. Woo, those are early exit polls for the 300 seats up for grabs in the parliamentary election...
First off, are they in line with your expectations?
** The ruling Democratic Party had initially hoped to secure 180 seats... eager to strengthen its position in parliament. It currently holds only a slim majority in the chamber.
180 would be three-fifths of the seats needed before bills can be introduced and passed in the Assembly, but now they look at xxx as being more realistic...
The early exit polls.
As widely expected, they're EXCRUCIATINGLY close - within the margin of error.
Those are the exit poll results, but of course... the final call will be made AFTER all of the votes have been counted.
Only by about midnight, Korea time, do we expect the results to take a more concrete form.
Joining us live in the studio to help us get a better grip of the 21st general elections in Korea: to my left, our political correspondent Kim Mok-yeon and to my right, Dr. Woo Jung-yeop, research fellow at Sejong Institute.
Welcome both to the program.
First off, Mok-yeon, walk us through the exit poll results.
Sure Connyoung, unlike the past when exit polls have been released at 6PM sharp, this time, just like our Kan Hyung-woo reports, the figures have come in at a little past 6:15, to prevent voters who've been self-quarantining due to COVID-19 from being influenced by the exit polls.
To give you an overview of the seat distribution, more than half of the 300 seats are colored in blue, which represents the Democratic Party and its satellite party.
The polls, conducted by Korea's three major broadcasters KBS, SBS and MBC, forecast that the ruling DP and its satellite Civil Together Party could grasp up to 175 seats, while the main opposition United Future Party and the Future Korea Party will finish in second with a maximum 134 seats.
The results of the exit polls are in line with latest opinion polls conducted during the campaigning period, which had the Democratic Party heading for a big win.
As for the highly symbolic Jongno, where key political heavyweights are elected in South Korean history, ruling Democrati Party candidate Lee Nak-yon is taking the lead with 53 percent.
Much attention has been focused especially on this district as both candidates have served as Prime Ministers and the winner of the district has been widely considered to have a higher chance to presidency.
If the final results turn out to be similar to the exit polls, the distribution of seats in the 21st national assembly will be similar to the 20th National Assembly, where the ruling party had the most seats.
Dr. Woo, those are early exit polls for the 300 seats up for grabs in the parliamentary election...
First off, are they in line with your expectations?
** The ruling Democratic Party had initially hoped to secure 180 seats... eager to strengthen its position in parliament. It currently holds only a slim majority in the chamber.
180 would be three-fifths of the seats needed before bills can be introduced and passed in the Assembly, but now they look at xxx as being more realistic...
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